By Brendan Scanland
WASHINGTON, D.C. — In the race for President of the United States, new polling suggests a toss-up between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Many national and swing state polls are within the margin of error following major events in the last week, including the Democratic National Convention and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s campaign suspension and subsequent endorsement of Donald Trump.
Polling from The Hill/Emerson College Polling shows Vice President Harris +3% in Michigan, +1% in Nevada and +1% in Georgia. However, those are all within the margin of error.
The same poll shows former President Donald Trump +3% in Arizona, +1% in North Carolina and +1% Wisconsin.
In Pennsylvania, both candidates are tied at 48% with 3% undecided. The poll sampled 950 Pennsylvania voters, 51% of them cite the economy as their top issue.
In Michigan, the poll reflects responses from 800 voters, 44% of respondents cite the economy as their top issue.
In a separate Quinnipiac University poll released today, Harris is +2% nationwide. It also shows Independent voters evenly split between the two candidates at 45%. The Quinnipiac survey includes responses from 1,611 voters nationwide.
Polling results are often taken with a grain of salt. However, these polls suggest two things. First, this year’s election is shaping into an extremely close competition. Second, Independent voters in the aforementioned swing states could determine the outcome of the race in November.
The question now is whether the candidates will take a more moderate approach between now and November to appeal to those Independent and undecided voters or will they double down and rally their base to increase voter turnout.